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Global Extinction within one Human Lifetime as a Result of a Spreading Atmospheric Arctic Methane Heat wave and Surface Firestorm

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Global Extinction within one Human Lifetime as a Result of a Spreading Atmospheric Arctic Methane Heat wave and Surface Firestorm

Abstract

Although the sudden high rate Arctic methane increase at Svalbard in late 2010 data set applies to only a short time interval, similar sudden methane concentration peaks also occur at Barrow point and the effects of a major methane build-up has been observed using all the major scientific observation systems. Giant fountains/torches/plumes of methane entering the atmosphere up to 1 km across have been seen on the East Siberian Shelf. This methane eruption data is so consistent and aerially extensive that when combined with methane gas warming potentials, Permian extinction event temperatures and methane lifetime data it paints a frightening picture of the beginning of the now uncontrollable global warming induced destabilization of the subsea Arctic methane hydrates on the shelf and slope which started in late 2010. This process of methane release will accelerate exponentially, release huge quantities of methane into the atmosphere and lead to the demise of all life on earth before the middle of this century.

Introduction

The 1990 global atmospheric mean temperature is assumed to be 14.49 oC (Shakil, 2005; NASA, 2002; DATAWeb, 2012) which sets the 2 oC anomaly above which humanity will lose control of her ability to limit the effects of global warming on major climatic and environmental systems at 16.49 oC (IPCC, 2007). The major Permian extinction event temperature is 80 oF (26.66 oC) which is a temperature anomaly of 12.1766 oC above the 1990 global mean temperature of 14.49 oC (Wignall, 2009; Shakil, 2005).

Results of Investigation

Figure 1 shows a huge sudden atmospheric spike like increase in the concentration of atmospheric methane at Svalbard north of Norway in the Arctic reaching 2040 ppb (2.04 ppm)(ESRL/GMO, 2010 – Arctic – Methane – Emergency – Group.org). The cause of this sudden anomalous increase in the concentration of atmospheric methane at Svalbard has been seen on the East Siberian Arctic Shelf where a recent Russian – U.S. expedition has found widespread, continuous powerful methane seepages into the atmosphere from the subsea methane hydrates with the methane plumes (fountains or torches) up to 1 km across producing an atmospheric methane concentration 100 times higher than normal (Connor, 2011). Such high methane concentrations could produce local temperature anomalies of more than 50 oC at a conservative methane warming potential of 25.

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Figure 2 is derived from the Svalbard data in Figure 1 and the methane concentration data has been used to generate a Svalbard atmospheric temperature anomaly trend using a methane warming potential of 43.5 as an example. The huge sudden anomalous spike in atmospheric methane concentration in mid August, 2010 at Svalbard is clearly evident and the methane concentrations within this spike have been used to construct a series of radiating methane global warming temperature trends for the entire range of methane global warming potentials in Figure 3 from an assumed mean start temperature of -3.575 degrees Centigrade for Svalbard (see Figure 2) (Norwegian Polar Institute; 2011).

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Figure 3 shows a set of radiating Arctic atmospheric methane global warming temperature trends calculated from the steep methane atmospheric concentration gradient at Svalbard in 2010 (ESRL/GMO, 2010 – Arctic-Methane-Emergency-Group.org). The range of extinction temperature anomalies above the assumed 1990 mean atmospheric temperature of 14.49 oC (Shakil, 2005) are also shown on this diagram as well as the 80 oF (26.66 oC) major Permian extinction event temperature (Wignall, 2009).

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Sam Carana (pers. com. 7 Jan, 2012) has described large December 2011 (ESRL-NOAA data) warming anomalies which exceed 10 to 20 degrees centigrade and cover vast areas of the Arctic at times. In the centres of these regions, which appear to overlap the Gakkel Ridge and its bounding basins, the temperature anomalies may exceed 20 degrees centigrade.

See this site:-
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/fnl/sfctmpmero1a30frames.fnl.anim.html

The temperature anomalies in this region of the Arctic for the period from September 8 2011 to October 7, 2011 were only about 4 degrees Centigrade above normal (Carana, pers. com. 2012) and this data set can be seen on this site:-

http://arctic-newsblogspot.com/p/arctic-temperatures.html

Because the Svalbard methane concentration data suggests that the major spike in methane emissions began in late 2010 it has been assumed for calculation purposes that the 2010 temperature anomalies peaked at 4 degrees Centigrade and the 2011 anomalies at 20 degrees Centigrade in the Gakkel Ridge region. The assumed 20 degree Centigrade temperature anomaly trend from 2010 to 2011 in the Gakkel Ridge region requires a methane gas warming potential of about 1000 to generate it from the Svalbard methane atmospheric concentration spike data in 2010. Such high methane warming potentials could only be active over a very short time interval (less than 5.7 months) as shown when the long methane global warming potential lifetimes data from the IPCC (2007; 1992) and Dessus, Laponte and Treut (2008 ) are used to generate a global warming potential growth curve with a methane global warming potential of 100 with a lifespan of 5 years.

Because of the high methane global warming potential (1000) of the 2011, 20 oC temperature anomalies in the Gakkel Ridge region, the entire methane global warming potential range from 5 to 1000 has been used to construct the radiating set of temperature trends shown in Figure 3. The 50, 100, 500 and 1000 methane global warming potential (GWP) trends are red and in bold. The choice of a high temperature methane peak with a global warming potential near 1000 is in fact very conservative because the 16 oC increase is assumed to occur over a year. The observed ESRL-NOAA Arctic temperature anomalies varied from 4 to 20 degrees over less than a month in 2011 (Sam Carana, pers. comm. 2012).

Figure 4 shows the estimated lifetime of a globally spreading Arctic methane atmospheric veil for different methane global warming potentials with the minimum, mean and maximum lifetimes fixed with data from Dessus, Laponche and Treut (2008) and IPCC (2007, 1992). On this diagram it is evident that the maximum methane global warming potential temperature trend of 50 intersects the 2 degree centigrade temperature anomaly line in mid 2027 at which time humanity will completely lose our ability to combat the earth atmospheric temperature rise. This diagram also indicates that methane will be an extremely active global warming agent for the first 15 years during the early stages of the extinction process. At the 80 o F (26.66 oC) Permian extinction event temperature line (Wignall, 2009), which has a 12.177 oC temperature anomaly above the 1980 mean of 14.49 oC, the lifetime of the minimum methane global warming potential veil is now some 75 years long and the temperature so high that total extinction of all life on earth will have occured by this time.

The life time from the almost instantaneous injection of methane into the atmosphere in 2010 is also shown as the two vertical violet lines (12 +- 3) years and this has been extended by 6 percent to 15.9 years to take account of increased methane concentrations in the future (IPCC, 1992b). This data set can be used to set up the likely start position for the extinction event from the large methane emissions in 2010.

(The above is only an intro -Read the whole article with references and comments at http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/global-extinction-within-one-human.html )


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The manuscript of survival – part 325 by Aisha North

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Liberation is at hand dear ones, as one by one you will step into the divine truth that is YOU. We know this will be small consolation for all of those struggling in the depths of despair, seemingly unable to free themselves from a veritable morass of old drama and dross. But as many have testified to already, suddenly it will be like when the suns rays pierces through the darkest and densest of clouds, and just like that, the raging storm dissipates, and you will see a brand new world standing before you. And the reason for this, is that you will see a brand new YOU standing within you, a you that has shed every last vestige of the old and contaminated skin that was restricting your every move. And you will laugh in joy at the ease of it all, for when the last piece of the puzzle clicks into place, it will transform the whole image into something that is so far removed from your old image of yourself you will find yourself laughing with relief.

For then you will see every battle and all the struggle for what it really was, just a step on the path towards enlightenment. Not as a punishment in any way, for that is what it feels like when you are still stuck within this old skin of third density awareness. And remember, the reason that this skin feels even more itchy and uncomfortable and even downright painful at the moment, is that the YOU you carry inside has started to grow at a rapid rate. And so, the old confines will feel more and more like a security prison, where you are locked into a space that becomes ever more claustrophobic by the day.

So again we say breathe, and even if your space by this time might feel so restricted it is as if you can hardly draw your breath at all, we still urge you to try to go beyond this feeling of asphyxiation and try to connect with that space you have already cleared within. For if you do that, if you do connect within, you will all find at least one small pocket of expansion where you can catch your breath. And again we say, that is also the only way to break through this dense outer layer. Not by using yourself as a ramrod, bashing yourself again and again against this brick wall of drama and turmoil. No, it is only by going within and connecting with this liberated space you do have inside that you can make that thick outer armour literally crumble to dust. This will not be easy, for your very instincts will tell you to break free by tearing at the wall. But try to fight that instinct by not fighting it, but by sitting down and surrender to yourself, the true self that is at ease already within you.

We know our messages will seem to be repetitious at the moment, but we see where so many of you are at this stage. For you literally on the verge of breaking through by doing just what we have told you to do. So stop the fight that will only serve to leave you even more bloody and ravaged, and surrender to the wisdom of your own Self that you carry within. And then, you will once more be able to bear witness to the truth that when you do, the sun will come out and you too will start to shine away the stormclouds that seems to have stationed themselves permanently around your very being.

http://aishanorth.wordpress.com/2013/06/18/the-manuscript-of-survival-part-325/


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The Oracle Report Tuesday, June 18, 2013

First Quarter Moon Phase – Moon in Libra

Ruling Mahavidya: Bagalamukhi

Today’s energy connects the dots. All sorts of things are going to link up or bridge to bring a degree of clarity. Links between the past and the present come together. There is a sense of needing to refresh things (bring new life to them), so anything that is outworn or in need of an overhaul will show. This surge of fresh, pure energy is perfect for today since we remain in the First Quarter Moon phase (of the First Quarter time of the year – double First Quarter energy!), which is the time when we step out and take action with something in our lives. This is perfect timing to do things a different way. Yesterday’s infusion from the Galactic Center brings us a dose of power to aim ourselves appropriately. Today is a new day and a chance to move toward what is the best arrangement for us.

If something from the past is haunting or burdening you, there is a second chance available. Bagalamukhi is on scene taking direction so we can get on with a new life. We don’t have to keep letting ourselves down. We have help and all we have to do is ask.

http://oraclereport.com/


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Hilarion – June 16-23, 2013

Oracles and Healers

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Beloved Ones,

The days that are before you bring deeper connections to the light that is within you. Most of you are now connecting your innate being to Mother Earth on a daily basis and this is helping you to stay grounded in your perceptions of the world around you. There is much that is happening that is helping to create the changes that are necessary to move humanity forward into greater awareness and consciousness. The awakening on a mass level is now occurring and this is something that every soul upon the planet has chosen at their soul level. At soul level, there is oneness of purpose and that is to bring the Earth and all her inhabitants into greater alignment with their glorious destiny.

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This is a journey of consciousness, dear hearts. – Channeled by Ron Head | Oracles and Healers

Photo by Gretchen Hermey

Photo by Gretchen Hermey

Michael

We will speak now of some of the things you may expect in your continued process of ascension. The question has been posed to our channel, and thereby to us, What of those who are mentally incapacitated, those in institutions, those who are elderly and refuse to listen? And further, we have heard many times questions about children, parents, dogs, cats, and a long list of others. We ask you to please rework your understandings of what this process is.

Please release your ideas of transporting to some other dream world, in whatever fashion, and leaving others behind. Everything and everyone in this universe is being affected by the rising of, and expansion of consciousness. It is impossible to not be affected.

That being said, dear friends, every person, every animal, and every being is in its own place with its own past and its own future. Do you wish to choose that future for them? Even your Creator has allowed them to explore creation with their own free will. Would you imagine for yourselves greater wisdom than this?

You have, as a collective consciousness, chosen to slow down your ascent to bring all along on the journey. This is a journey of consciousness, dear hearts. And that decision, that marvelous decision that you all have made, is equivalent to something called the bodhisattva vow. But allow yourselves to understand that the light which is permeating your world at this moment is raising every cell, every molecule, every atom, and every particle in its path.

All are not duplicates of each other now, and they will not be in future either. If that were the goal, there would be no need for the infinite number of beings that make up the One. Now, since these concepts are a bit if a problem for you, since you continue to hang onto some of your limitations still, we would ask you to remember and focus on this one thought. You are each and all a part of that One, and as you raise yourselves, you raise the All.

That means that your ascension aids the ascension of each of those you asked about in the beginning of this message. You may not be able to convince them. In some cases, you may not even be able to communicate with them. But you are precisely the ones who can aid them in their growth, because you cannot not affect the All. Please, therefore, release worry and fear and teach yourselves to focus on your goal. Teach yourselves to build as clear a picture of what world you would have for yourselves and others.

Your input is valued, valuable, and powerful. You ARE the co-creators. Imagine, if you will, your Creator saying, You Are the I AM that I AM. Imagine it because it is true. And then value yourselves accordingly. We do. And your Creator does, as well. Learn to refrain from thinking or speaking of yourselves or others in lesser terms. The one standing next to you and the one wearing your shoes are both amazing beings of the light.

We love you. Good day.

Copyright © Ronald Head. All Rights Reserved. You may copy and redistribute this material so long as you do not alter it in any way, the content remains complete, and you include this copyright notice link: http://oraclesandhealers.wordpress.com/

http://oraclesandhealers.wordpress.com/2013/06/17/this-is-a-journey-of-consciousness-dear-hearts-channeled-by-ron-head/#more-3499


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Some Guidelines for Harmonious Interactions and Communication | Anna Baldwin

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This set of guidelines for harmonious communications has been adapted from the Geneva Group Agreements, Boulder Colorado, 1985 and appeared in Communities Magazine #113.

THE CO-CREATOR’S AGREEMENTS:

BE MINDFUL- My intent is to be myself, to be authentic, and to be fully present.

REALIZE OUR POTENTIAL- My commitment is to realize my full potential and support others in doing the same.

FOLLOW MY GUIDANCE- I agree to attune with Spirit and follow the calling of my soul on behalf of the well being of the whole.

COMMUNICATE WITH INTEGRITY- I agree to tell my truth with compassion for myself and others and honor confidentiality whenever appropriate.

ACT WITH INTEGRITY- I agree to keep my agreements and will do my best to follow my heart in making commitments.

DEEP LISTENING- I agree to listen respectfully to the communication of others and tune into their deepest meaning.

HONOR ONE ANOTHER – I agree to honor each person’s process, acknowledging that everyone,including myself, is making the best possible choice or decision we are capable of in that moment.

APPRECIATE OUR CONTRIBUTIONS- I agree to take responsibility for and receiving acknowledgments and acknowledging others.

HONOR OUR DIFFERENCES- I agree to come from a sense of cooperation and caring in my interactions with others, and an understanding that objectives are often the same even though methods for achieving them may differ. I honor the diversity of all life.

TAKE RESPONSIBILITY- I agree to take responsibility for my creations, my reactions, my experience, and my relationships.

MAINTAIN RESONANCE- I agree to take the time to establish rapport and then to reconnect with anyone with whom I feel out of harmony as soon as it may be appropriate.

RESOLVE PROBLEMS CONSTRUCTIVELY- I agree to take problems , complaints and upsets to the person(s) with whom I can resolve them, at the earliest opportunity. I agree not to criticize or to complaint to someone who cannot do something about my complaint, and I will redirect others to do the same.

GO FOR EXCELLENCE- I agree to support others and to be supported in participating at the highest level of excellence.

LEARN FROM EXCELLENCE- I agree to do my best to learn from my experiences. BE A LEADER- I agree to foster an environment of genuine collaboration in which all people, including myself, feel empowered to express our individual and collective potential.

SERVICE TO OTHERS- I am willing to open my heart, still my mind and be in compassionate service to all life.

RE-EVALUATE MY COMMITMENTS- I agree to choose and re-choose to participate in this community. It is my choice.

LIGHTEN UP!- I agree to create joy in my relationships, my work and my life.