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Interview: ‘The Tenge Follows The Ruble’

I am sharing this especially for everyone who is waiting for and discussing the global currency reval, dinar, dong etc.

This interview discusses some of the REASONS for a currency to have a certain value and for that value to change. These things apply to ALL international trading currencies.

So worth reading so you can look yourself at the global news and determine when and what is likely to happen without waiting for dubious “insiders” and well documented con men to string you along with fish tales.

Interview: ‘The Tenge Follows The Ruble’

February 12, 2014

An exchange-rate board in Almaty reflects the fall of the Kazakh tenge on February 11.

An exchange-rate board in Almaty reflects the fall of the Kazakh tenge on February 11.

The devaluation of Kazakhstan’s tenge comes close on the heels of the devaluation of another major regional currency, the ruble. Is there a connection? RFE/RL correspondent Charles Recknagel spoke with Alex Nice, a Central Asia expert at the London-based Economist Intelligence Unit.

RFE/RL: Kazakhstan is the second economy in the former Soviet space to see its currency devalue in recent weeks. In January, the Russian ruble devalued by 10 percent against the dollar. On February 11, the Kazakh tenge fell by 19 percent against the dollar. Did the fall of the ruble put additional pressure on the tenge, which already was suffering from other factors that have weakened many emerging markets currencies in recent months?

RELATED: Kazakh Central Bank Devalues Currency

Alex Nice: What we have seen since January is a sharp fall in the value of a number of emerging-market currencies against the dollar, including the ruble, which is perhaps the most significant [factor] for most Kazakhs. But there were also a number of [other] factors that were pushing down on the currency since earlier in the year, including a fall in the value of oil prices, weak exports, and a rapid growth in imports….

In general the tenge tends to follow movements in the ruble. The last major devaluation in 2009 likewise followed a sharp fall in the value of the ruble. And the reason for that is partly that they have very similar economies, they are both major oil exporters, but also Russia is one of the main trade partners for Kazakhstan and one of the main consumers of [Kazakh] nonoil exports. Now, if the ruble falls, then the relative price of Kazakh goods in Russia rises, so there is this pressure to lower the value of the tenge in order to maintain some sort of price competitiveness.

Alex Nice

Alex Nice

RFE/RL: Qairat Kelimbetov, the chairman of the National Bank of Kazakhstan, has said that the government considers the new value of 185 tenges to the dollar to be the proper exchange rate for the currency. Can we expect the Kazakh central bank to hold the rate of the tenge at this level?

Nice: It is very hard to [predict] currency markets but they may have actually devalued [the tenge] slightly too far. It is interesting that the tenge lost 20 percent of its value [to the dollar] compared to, say, the ruble, which has lost 10 percent since January, and they have lower inflation in Kazakhstan. So, I wonder if they have given themselves some leeway perhaps for the currency even to strengthen slightly. But it depends on a number of factors. If the oil price were to weaken significantly over the year, then that would reduce the value of their exports and they may again find it hard to defend the tenge at that level.

RFE/RL: Is the devaluation of the tenge likely to stoke inflation in the Kazakh economy?

Nice: Consumer goods are to a large extent imported from abroad and the prices for all of those are going to shoot up markedly, which is going to push up inflation. Now, in the longer term, as Kazakhstan tries to diversify its economy, a weaker tenge will help domestic producers and perhaps encourage consumers in some areas to buy local produce. But that is a long-term project and in the short term we are going to see a spike in inflation and this is a real problem and I think it is going to cause quite a lot of anger amongst average Kazakh consumers.

RFE/RL: Other Central Asian countries are also closely tied to Russia, either as a trading partner or through remittances. Are we likely to see currency devaluations follow in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, both of whose economies are heavily dependent upon rubles sent back by migrant laborers working in Russia?

Nice: If we look at Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, they are countries with very large current account deficits; that is, they import a great deal more than they export, and they also are very much dependent upon remittances from Russia. Now, the fall in the value of the ruble means that the value of those remittances has gone down in dollar terms and as a result there is going to be downward pressure on the Kyrgyz and Tajik currencies.

RFE/RL: How about Uzbekistan. Any signs the som is also on the way to devaluation?

Nice: In the case of Uzbekistan, of course, you have got the official exchange rate and then the unofficial exchange rate, which is about 30 percent weaker already than the official rate. We have seen the Uzbek som weaken throughout the last year, and I think that is going to accelerate over the course of this year and the black-market rate likewise will weaken. Whether there will be this rapid devaluation [as in Kazakhstan] is hard to tell because in some ways [the government’s] currency and exchange-rate policy in Uzbekistan is very opaque.

RFE/RL: And what about Turkmenistan?

Nice: Turkmenistan, I imagine, will face some of the similar issues simply because, more generally, if we are talking about why emerging-market currencies are weakening, well, the end of quantitative easing in the United States, the U.S. Fed taper, and the fall in confidence in emerging markets, is having an impact on all these countries and I imagine also in Turkmenistan.

http://www.rferl.mobi/a/kazakhstan-tenge-devaluation-ruble-russia-currency/25261517.html


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Be at peace – Message from my Higher Self and SaLuSa – Multidimensional Ocean 18 Feb. 2014

Thank you Laura!

Multidimensional Ocean

1932355_10152014947259023_26823166_n Dear ones, we encourage you once again to go within and take stock of your inner state. This is a rather difficult thing to do, as one must face the energies within, as well as the tension built up within. This often translates as muscular tension, mental unrest, emotional rollercoaster and a general sense of fatigue.

We encourage you to do things slower than you usually would, to sleep longer, and to eat healthy, natural foods in order to replenish your body with the energy that it needs. The additional and longer cold in the northern hemisphere is adding on stress and muscular tension in your lives. Make sure not to neglect your body, to give it plenty of exercise and plenty of gentle loving care.

Do not be afraid of probing your own inner tensions, manifesting through your body as muscular tension and sore points in your body. The…

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Study shows Fukushima nuclear pollution becoming more concentrated as it approaches U.S. West Coast — Plume crosses ocean in a nearly straight line toward N. America — Appears to stay together with little dispersion MODEL

Thank you for sharing this. So much speculation and randomness about Fukushima online lately-its very helpful to see an actual study with some real science!

Indiĝenaj Inteligenteco

[…] On March 30, 2011, the Japan Central News Agency reported the monitored radioactive pollutions that were 4000 times higher than the standard level. Whether or not these nuclear pollutants will be transported to the Pacific-neighboring countries through oceanic circulations becomes a world-wide concern. […][…] The time scale of the nuclear pollutants reaching the west coast of America is 3.2 years if it is estimated using the surface drifting buoys and 3.9 years if it is estimated using the nuclear pollutant particulate tracers. […]

via Study shows Fukushima nuclear pollution becoming more concentrated as it approaches U.S. West Coast — Plume crosses ocean in a nearly straight line toward N. America — Appears to stay together with little dispersion MODEL.

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Truthout Daily Digest February 18, 2014

Prison Phone Company Whines, “WE MISS YOU!”

Maya Schenwar, Truthout: Giant, money-sucking phone companies are only one symptom of the monolithic prison-industrial complex that rules this country. But they’re a potent one. They’re a burning reminder that within this insidious system, destruction – of families, of communities, of human lives – turns a profit.

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David Simon on Our Rigged Political System

Bill Moyers, Moyers & Company: David Simon, journalist and creator of the TV series The Wire and Treme, returns to talk with Bill Moyers about the triumph of capital over democracy. “If I could concentrate and focus on one thing … and start to walk the nightmare back, it would be campaign finance reform,” Simon says.

Watch the Video and Read the Transcript

Usurious Returns on Phantom Money: The Credit Card Gravy Train

Ellen Brown, Web of Debt Blog: You pay off your credit card balance every month, thinking you are taking advantage of the “interest-free grace period” and getting free credit. You may even use your credit card when you could have used cash, just to get the free frequent flier or cash-back rewards. But those popular features are misleading.

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Chris Hedges | Our Sinister Dual State

Chris Hedges, Truthdig: Those who wield unchecked power over the citizenry live in “the prerogative state,” in which the elite rule according to its own arbitrary whims and prerogatives. And the masses, trapped in their totalitarian structure, live in “the normative state.” Edward Snowden jolted the nation awake by disclosing the crimes of the prerogative state.

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The History of Surveillance and the Black Community

Nadia Kayyali, Electronic Frontier Foundation: February is Black History Month, and that history is intimately linked with surveillance by the federal government in the name of “national security.” This history of surveillance in the African-American community plays an important role in the debate around spying today and in the calls for a Congressional investigation into that surveillance.

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The New Fascism: Terms and Conditions

The Daily Take, The Thom Hartmann Program: By agreeing to the terms and conditions for the Bank of America smartphone app, you give the company the permission to turn on your phone and make phone calls at your expense, and permission to turn on your camera and microphone without telling you at any time.

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Misremembering America’s Wars: The Pentagon’s Latest “Mission Accomplished” Moment

Nick Turse, TomDispatch: The United States of America Vietnam War Commemoration web site claims that it will “provide the American public with historically accurate materials and interactive experiences,” but its flawed historical timeline suggests other motives at play.

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Jordan Davis, Another Victim of a Murderous Historical Continuum

Dr. Wilmer J. Leon III, Truthout: The subtext to the untimely deaths of Michael Dunn, Trayvon Martin, Oscar Grant and Sean Bell remains race. The subtext to the inability of juries to convict the George Zimmermans and Michael Dunns of the world of murder is tied to race as well.

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On the News With Thom Hartmann: Hospitals Close as Georgia Continues to Block the Medicaid Expansion, and More

In today‘s On the News segment: Another rural Georgia hospital is closing its doors as that state continues to block the Medicaid expansion; Ohio’s Republican governor teamed up with the oil lobby to promote fracking; this year’s George Polk Award goes to the investigative journalists who helped Edward Snowden expose massive government spying programs; and more.

Watch the Video and Read the Transcript

Extend Unemployment Assistance by Cutting the War Budget

Robert Naiman, Truthout: Many Democrats have objected to the idea that extending unemployment assistance should be paid for with cuts elsewhere. But a great place to start would be cutting the money in the war budget that was put there for Pentagon contractor pork that has nothing to do with the war in the first place.

Read the Article

The Killing of Jordan Davis: Michael Dunn Faces 60 Years After Split Verdict in “Thug Music” Trial

Amy Goodman, Democracy Now!: A Florida jury has convicted Michael Dunn on three counts of attempted murder for opening fire on a car of unarmed black teenagers during an argument over loud rap music at a gas station. But the jury deadlocked on the most serious charge, the first-degree murder of 17-year-old Jordan Davis.

Watch the Video and Read the Transcript

BuzzFlash

The Buzzflash commentary for Truthout will return soon.

1% Jokes and Plutocrats in Drag: What I Saw When I Crashed a Wall Street Secret Society

Read the Article at New York Magazine

This Is How Citizens United Dies: Mexican Tycoon Exploited Super-PACs To Influence US Elections

Read the Article at Daily Kos

West Virginia Still Wary of Water a Month After Chemical Spill

Read the Article by The Associated Press

After Fracking Well Explodes, Chevron Offers Free Pizza Coupons to Affected Community

Read the Article at Raw Story

The Koch Brothers and Libre, Their Hispanic Voter Project

Read the Article at BuzzFlash

Robert Scheer | Honoring the “Accomplices” to Truth Who Caught Clapper in a Lie

Read the Article at Truthdig

Warming Arctic May Be Causing Jet Stream To Lose Its Way

Read the Article at NPR


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The Oracle Report | Tuesday, February 18, 2014

  • SDO 21714

Disseminating Moon Phase: share, demonstrate, communicate

Moon: Libra

Ruling Mahavidya: Matangi

The Disseminating phase of this lunar month opens with the floodgates of Pisces today. The Sun will move into Pisces, conjuncting Neptune and ushering a five day tsunami of connection with higher realms. Not only do we have an open channel with spirit, but we gain a degree of clarity that clears away the fog. Pop astrology focuses on the escapist, nebulous, addictive power of Neptune, but the truth of the matter is transits of Neptune make things clear as day if we are willing to look. The conjunction of the Sun and Neptune over the next five days will bring new awareness and realization, particularly as it relates to duty, discipline, and honor.

It would be a good idea to give some thought to where your duties lie, where discipline needs to be enacted, and what you honor. These are exercises of the inner sacred masculine.

The Fates have gifted us with this wonderful opportunity to communicate with our higher selves and with Spirit during the Disseminating phase of the Moon – the phase where communication of all types is heightened. This is like an “open call” with Gaia Sophia, the divine being embodied as our planet. So, knowing you have audience with the goddess of wisdom, what would you like to share or discuss with her? Her favorite topic is how we are expressing ourselves, and she prefers stories. Where are you with the story of your life?

Don’t be surprised if she asks you about faith, which is the only thing that keeps us connected to spirit when all else seems to fail. With this, she wishes to light a path for us.

And even though this is a special “Sophia time,” her emissary and regent Matangi also assists. If you’ve been following the Oracle Report for at least a year, you remember that assistance is something at which Matangi excels. Put another way, Matangi assists us with excelling. Matangi’s month is usually during the time of year that is like a long Third Quarter Moon phase. Recall that Third Quarter Moon phases are the time when we close-out, take care of business, finish details, and generally get things in good order. It’s like year-end close-out before the new astrological year begins.

When the new astrological year begins with the New Moon in Aries on March 30, we can imprint/implant/interact with the field of consciousness in a brand new way. We work new magic, so to speak. But before that, we have to tidy up. Matangi can help us with this. She takes care of what is ignored, rejected, turned away from, and disposed of. So we can have faith that we can let go of things and they will be taken care of.

Today, tune in to what you see and hear around you, what you see in your mind’s eye, and what your heart tells you. Take counsel with the wisdom goddesses.

(Notes: The Moon will conjunct Mars tomorrow around 5:00 pm EST, so be forewarned that anger, conflict, and aggression will be heightened tomorrow in the buildup. Since Mars is nearly at a standstill before it turns retrograde, the effects of Mars are being amplified. See yesterday’s report for more information. Also, even though a water-themed picture would be in order today, I could not resist this photo from the Solar Dynamics Observatory. It is impressive, isn’t it? It’s a shot of a magnetic filament erupting on the Sun yesterday. Magnetic filament eruptions make things erupt on Earth, especially eruptions in human interactions. Be aware that we have these energies flowing alongside the influx of Piscean energy.)

http://www.oraclereport.com/tuesday-february-18-2014/


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The manuscript of survival – part 398

Thank you Aisha!

aisha north

By now, many of you will have felt the tugging from these energies, and we can sense a heightened sense of frustration in all those still insisting on hanging on. You see, this is not an easy task, for even if you think yourself already well above and beyond the struggle of release, this is in many ways not the case. Not to dampen your spirits, but we would like to delve a little bit further into this enigma of resistance, for that is what so many of you are experiencing at the moment.

Remember we are here to help you to get airborne, and the only way to do that, is to allow yourself to let go of all of the old ballast that is till holding you tethered to the ground, and as such, the more you flail and struggle, the more you seem to find yourself entangled…

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The Moneyless Man | Transition Network

I am so grateful to discover this. I’ve been trying for years to explain why money is a trick, a trap, a tool of enslavement and destruction of Earth and all living beings. Luckily Universe is abundant and what I lack in ability or talent others have:-)

The Moneyless Man

Living without money. On first inspection, these three words sound extreme and would seem to involve no small amount of sacrifice. I can understand why. The cultural story that is money has such a powerful hold on our minds today that we have come to believe that we could not possibly ever live without it. Living without clean air, fresh water and fertile soil bizarrely seems a more moderate challenge in comparison. Yet on closer inspection, our reaction towards even the discussion of moneyless living reveals more about the extremity of our own indoctrination, our own conditioning, than it does about the way of life itself. For to see the non-monetary economy in action, one need only go for a simple walk in the woods, cook dinner for a friend or swim in our vast oceans. Every other species on Earth lives without money. Our ancestors had no notion of money, and many peoples still resist it today, even against all the might of the military-industrial complex and the cultural missionaries spreading its Word.

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Mark Boyle at his homeAnd I myself, after two and a half years of living without money, no longer see it as extreme. Extreme is converting the Earth’s splendour and bounty – its salmon, its magnificent ancient redwoods, its rolling hills, its generous soil, its gushing rivers, its gloriously Wild creatures – and the pageantry of life into meaningless numbers with no intrinsic worth. Extreme is not knowing our neighbours, let alone feeling comfortable enough to ask them for help. Extreme is having a spare room in your house while others sleep on the street. Extreme is spending our lives doing jobs we hate, just so that we can repay the bank money that it created out of thin air in the first instance. Extreme is taking what was freely given to us and then charging another part of Nature for it, only sharing that which was gifted to us if we receive something in return. Extreme is walking towards the precipice as we smugly recycle our tetrapaks. Extreme is letting it all unfold before our eyes, as if somehow we were not powerful enough to stop it.

Yet such views go against everything we are taught from the moment we enter school and begin training to meet the needs of the economy. We learn that financial considerations must usurp respect, compassion and the health of our land. And anyway, why would anyone consider co-creating their own local economy when this big one we already have is so convenient?

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HomeThe reasons are as varied as the ecological, social and financial crises we have created. For some, it is simply because the dominant economic model makes it almost impossible for them to make ends meet without accruing debt. Others want the sense of freedom and autonomy that comes with being completely self-reliant, avoiding dependence on what they abhor as the brutal machinery of the state and capitalism. Some tell me they strive towards it as a deep spiritual journey, living in the moment and trusting that each day will provide. A few have divulged that they are getting prepared for that apocalyptic scenario we all want to avoid. Many want to do it because they want to reduce their complicity in a monetary economy that seems hell bent on destroying all before it, turning the Earth into a hot landfill site that is a viable home for 50,000 fewer species each and every year.

My own original reasons for moving beyond money were simple: I believed – and still do four years later – that until we reconnect with what we consume, there will always be sweatshops, always be clearcuts, always be oil spills. Money disconnects us, and protects us from being fully exposed to the atrocities that we fund, things that if we witnessed we would never want done in our name. Despite reading lots about the social and ecological impacts of fossil fuels over many years, it wasn’t until I saw the watery eyes of Iraqi refugees in Calais in 2008 that I decided to give up using oil. I believe that until we feel the pain of the Earth and all that dwells on it at the deepest level, our behaviour will not drastically change. Why would it? I also realised that until I connected with Her, I would not understand my interdependence with Her. We believe we are somehow separate from Nature, above Her, and it is here that all our problems begin. Consciously rejecting money reconnects you and places you amongst Nature once again. You see that the air, the water and the soil are not your environment, they are you.

That was the initial impulse for rejecting it. Today there are an almost infinite number of reasons why I believe that moneyless living (which I prefer to call “the localised gift economy”) is the only truly sustainable and non-exploitative economic model available to us. These range from the economic to the ecological, and from the social to the personal, but a short blog is not the place to explore all of that.

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Bristol Freeconomy groupInstead, let’s get down to the nitty gritty. If you did decide to give moneyless living a go, what would it mean you have to give up? In general, my experience has taught me that it involves the sacrifice of very little of value, whilst the gains have been immensely rewarding. Sure, money can give us a sense of security and independence. But anyone who has experienced hyper-inflation will testify to the illusory nature of that security, and ‘financial independence’ is simply replacing dependence on neighbours with dependence on more distant people who you don’t have to be nice to. Someone is still growing your food and making your products – you just don’t meet them. I have come to see living with money as living without full and total relationship with the Earth, without interdependency on our communities and without full awareness of the horrors that are inflicted on Nature (including humanity). Money allows you to live with oil and plastics, but without the sight of the collateral damage that is an Iraqi’s tears. Living with money is living without the Wild that currently lies caged within your soul. And it has consequences – the ecological and social mess we see before us today.

Non-monetary economics is not prescriptive – take what suits your purposes and leave the rest. You may want to be moneyless simply for food, or for your shoes, aphrodisiacs or soap. You may just want to travel overland to a cave in Turkey without needing a penny, make your own drum out of a roadkill buck, or produce all your own booze. It was in recognition of this that myself and Shaun Chamberlin, Transition Town Kingston co-founder and author of The Transition Timeline, devised a mechanism called the Progression of Principles (POP) model to help us all on our individual paths. It allows you to make a transition from the economy you live within now (the global, exchange based economy) to whatever economy you would like to be in (which for me is a localised gift economy), progressing with the speed and urgency that feels appropriate to you.

The model is created by you, for you, and there is no ‘right’ or ‘wrong’. For example, my ideal for transport is to walk barefoot, feeling the dew beneath my feet as I tread carefully amongst Nature. But in reality, I’m up to my neck in work. Therefore at the bottom of my personal POP model for transport is where I am now – a bike salvaged from the detritus of industrialised society, in the middle a pair of clogs I made from local wood or a pair of cast-off trainers, and at the top barefoot walking. Using it I can then commit to designing my life in such a way that in two / five / seven years I’ll have made my way to a point where my actions reflect my beliefs, and where my spirituality is applied in the litmus test of the physical world.

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Foraging for blackberriesPractically speaking, there are many ways you can live moneyless. The purest (least dependent on the monetary economy you are trying to replace) of these is to do it Palaeolithic style. This involves foraging, hunting with stone-age weapons, flint-knapping and making your own shelter, cordage and so on. A difficult option in The Age of the Machine, but a beautiful one to strive for. One rung down from that is Permaculture, which I feel gives the best balance between realism and idealism. Finally, there is the mode of moneyless living that is fully embedded in industrialised society. This involves squatting, eating waste food, and using gift economy websites (such as Freeconomy, Freecycle, Couch-surfing and so on) to meet your needs. None of these options are more right or wrong than the others. Your unique situation will dictate what is most appropriate for you both now and in the future. If you crave freedom and complete connection with the land, then learning to live off its fruits completely is the option for you. However, if you’re an activist campaigning against the atrocities of The Machine (in which we are all easily interchangeable cogs) by using your laptop in a city, squatting and skipping will mean that you can devote all your time to that without having to get a job to pay rent or buy food. Either way, it will also reduce your complicity in the destruction you see around you by simply not investing in it.

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readingLiving without money is not extreme, and it is not a sacrifice, but it appears so if viewed through the lens of the dominant cultural stories, the ones that have led to the convergence of crises we face. We know that we need to change the way we live now, and we need to do it drastically, but doing so will look unrealistic until we challenge and change our thinking. Until we fully understand our interdependence with the whole, and reconnect with what we consume, I do not expect to see the fundamental social, political and lifestyle changes that could make our future not only sustainable, but worth living in.

Moneylessness can be a simple practical tool to help you live the life you want. And by doing so, you’ll be an example that there is another way of living, one based on respect, symbiosis and unconditional love, to everyone that you encounter along your way.

Mark Boyle is author of The Moneyless Man and the founder of Freeconomy. His new book, The Moneyless Manifesto (out in November 2012, published by Green Books) explores the entire philosophy behind moneyless living, and offers a complete guide to how to do it yourself.

Photos: Mark drinking tea outside his home (Jose Lasheras), Mark’s home, members of Mark’s local freeconomy group learn to make their own wild beer, cider and wine (Mark Boyle), Foraging for blackberries, its free to read a book (Jose Lasheras)

http://www.transitionnetwork.org/stories/guest-blogger/2012-04/moneyless-man